Investment

Happy Birthday Queen Elizabeth II: The Queen is 96 on April 21, 2022

Happy Birthday Queen Elizabeth II

Let me share you something interesting about the Queen’s birthday: The Queen has two birthdays!

Why does she have two birthdays?

Her real birthday: on 21 April 1926.

Her second birthday: on the second Saturday of June. (The official celebration)

The Queen usually spends her actual birthday with her family and celebration with the public in June.

There is a reason behind. Official celebration to mark a King or Queen’s birthday in the UK royal monarchy have been held on a day that isn’t their real birthday in the past. 

The tradition started with the Queen’s great-grandfather, King Edward VII. He was born in November which is not known in the UK for its good weather. However, King Edward VII would like to have a big public celebration and he understood the November wasn’t a good time to do it. And he decided to combine his birthday celebration with an annual military parade in the summer when the Weather would be nice.

The Queen has had a heartbreaking year in 2021. Wishing she the best on her birthday and have a blast in 2022!

Photo source:https://www.royalmint.com/globalassets/royalty/queen-elizabeth/dt-article-the-queens-birthday.jpg?width=2147483647

Investment

Decoupling, one of the biggest risk to the global economy

Global Markets may still underestimate the impact of China’s strict zero-Covid policy. Until now, nearly 400 million people across the mainland China are under full or partial lockdown. 

Investors probably do not aware of this zero-Covid policy as much more attention remains focused on the Russian-Ukraine war and the US Federal Reserve rate hikes.

However, more and more analysts are ringing warning bells as Shanghai, a city of 25 million and one of China’s premiere manufacturing is under the indefinite lockdown. The quarantines left the largest port in the world understaffed. Food supplies stuck in shipping containers, incoming cargo is now stuck at Shanghai marine terminals and cargo airlines were cancelled all flight in and out of the city. Sony, Apple supplier plants, Quanta Factory and Tesla factory in and around Shanghai, are idle.

The impact on China is major and the ripple effect on the global economy is also significant.

The ongoing disruption to manufacturing and shipping in China may help accelerate the US president Joe Biden to reduce US dependence on products and supply chains from China. Some US economic leaders believe that decoupling is underway. However, it is extremely difficult. Globalization is not something that is easy to be reversed because it would be incredibly costly. 

Investment

Precious metals hit hard as Fed Chair Powell Stays


Gold and silver futures were sharply down the U.S. trading session Monday while President Joe Biden confirmed Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell for his second term. The precious metals prices were under a huge pressure and selling pressure accelerated overnight. 

December gold was last down nearly USD 41.10 at USD 1,810.4 and December Comex Silver was last down USD 0.421 at USD 24.36 per ounce.

Someone argued that another term for Powell was just an excuse for bullions future traders taking profits after recent good price gains. Some analysts believe bullion markets are likely to continue to be supported by the inflation trade and to be sought out as a hedge against rising and even problematic price inflation.

Investment

Gold price is going much higher

Gold price is getting back above USD 1,800 per troy ounce. Investors expect it will continue to move higher because it is unlikely the Federal Reserve will be able to fet the inflation under control.

The growth thread of inflation and stagflation are pushing more investors reevaluate their safe-haven hedge and rearrange their investment profolio.

The inflation the year is very different from the last few years. The current inflation is not being driven by consumer demand. Prices go up because of major supply-chain around the world especially the second largest economy, China.

There is nothing the Federal Reserve can do to fix the supply chain as the inflation is on the long side of the track. With gold prices back over USD 1,800 per troy ounce, the market will see bullish momentum very soon. 

Investment

USD 3.5 trillion budget plan for Americans

Senate Democats just passed a USD 3.5 trillion plan early Wednesday. The bill will spend on the establishment of a Civilian Climate Corps, adds new dental, cision and hearing benefits to medicare coverage and investment in affordable housing.

Even though the GOP (Republican National Committee) voted against, the bill has passed without a Republican vote. Biden Adminstration previously said the US government will have tax increases on corporations and wealthy individuals to pay for the USD 3.5 trilliion plan.

There are many conerens about the 3.5 trillion plan will cause inflation. President Joe Biden hit back against information concern on Wednesday and would like to downplayed concerns about price hikes. and cited that his plans for the American economy are working. The President Joe Biden said that the consumner price inflation slowed in July. But his adminstration will also outline a number of resolutions  to lower the consumer costs.

However, there is one more concern about his 3.5 trillion plan. There is no one can gurantee the US government will have substantial tax incomes from coporations and wealthy people to cover this plan. Tax incomes may get affected by the pandemic.

Investment

Political Influence of Chinese Government over Stock Markets

Tecent stock fell over 10% in Hong Kong stock market on Tuesday after Economic Information Daily – a business newspaper owned by Xinhua News Agency published an article about online game.

The article used the terms of “spiritual opium” and “electronic drug” to describe the harmful effects of oline gaming on children and teenagers. The analysis also pointed out that industries insiders and leaders should be vigilant about the harm of online games in young people and children.

Actually there was a massive sell-off for Tecent few days ago. This analysis of online games just a week after a big slumps of Chinese tech stocks. Last week, Tecent temporarily suspended new user registration for its WeChat messaging platform because of secutiy systems udpates. Investors believe its updates is due to compliance and regulation issues from Chinese government.

The recent incidents about Tecent also proof that Chinese tech giants have to keep a good relationship with Chinese Governemnt. And they have to fulfill more social responsibility when doing business in China. 

Investment

Influences of Chinese Investors in different Areas

China may become the World’s second-largest economy behind the US.

HSBC

One of the China’s biggest insurers, Ping An Insurance (Group) Co. is the second largest shareholder of HSBC Holdings PLC. Ping An said that the investment won’t influence how the U.K. based bank is run.

 

AMC

One of the largest movie theater chain around the world was bought by Dalian Wanda Group which runs by Chinese business Wan Jianlin for USD 2.6 billion.

 

GE Appliances

A well-known iconic company in US was partly owned by a Chinese Company, Qingdao Haier. And the acquisition deal was USD 5.4 Billion.

 

Motorola

One of the early leader in telecommunications space previously now was owned by one of the famous Chinese enterprise, Lenova. This makes Lenevo become the world’s third-largest smartphone maker around the world.

 

Football

Chinese investors are interested in Football as well. Chinese billionaire Tong Xia owned Aston Villa.

 

Infrastructure Business

Chinese Investors and businessesmans own stakes in key infrastructure businesses in the UK such as Heathrow Airport and UK power Networks. Chinese investors have also bought up stakes in Thames Water which is another key infrastructire firms in the UK.

 

Education

Schools in the UK which owned by Chinabacked enterprises:

  • Bournemouth Collegiate School
  • St Michael’s School in Llanelli, Carmarthanshire
  • Bosworth Independent College in Northampton
  • Bedstone College in Shropshire
  • Ipswich High School
  • Kingsley School in Bideford, Devon,
  • Heathfield Knoll School
  • Thetford Grammar School in Norfolk
  • Wisbech Grammar in Cambridgeshire
  • Riddlesworth Hall Preparatory School in Norfolk
  • Adcote School for Girls near Shrewsbury, Shropshire 
  • Myddelton College in Denbigh, Wales
  • CATS Colleges – Campuses are in London, Cambridge and Canterbury
  • Chase Grammar School
  • Abbotsholme School, Derbyshire
  • St Bees School, Cumbria 

 

Let me know if you know more.

Investment

The most stupid thing Didi did: Chose US stock market for its USD 4.4
billion IPO.

Just after Didi raised its IPO which valued nearly USD 68 billion in US stock marking on June 30 2021, Chinese government and Chinese Regulators blocked Didi on Chinese App stores and Chinese Market. It made Didi Global Inc. plunged below IPO price.

Didi is a Chinese ride-hailing company in Chinese and bases in Beijing which provide Chinese customers with taxi hailing, private car hailing and social ride-sharing services. Didi currently has around 550 million users and around 10 millions of registered drives over 400 Chinese cities.

Some analysts believe the crackdown of Didi in its home country means that Chinese government wants more control on Chinese big data as well as a new battlegrounds of US-China trade wars.

Didi is now facing scrutiny over its data security by Chinese regulators. This cybersecurity probe by Chinese regulators also bring out a very strong message to other China’s tech giants: Do not even think about listing in stock market outside China and Hong Kong, especially in US stock market.

For those Tech Giants business owners in China, running the whole business not just needs to be given business consideration, but also a nation security consideration and patriotism consideration.

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