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UK Prime Minister Liz Truss apologized for her mini-budget

Ian Vogler/AFP/Getty Images

Image source: https://media.cnn.com/api/v1/images/stellar/prod/221017124957-03-liz-truss-lead-image.jpg?c=16×9&q=h_720,w_1280,c_fill

UK Prime Minister Liz Truss apologized for her controversial mini-budget that crashed the UK Sterling, rattled financial markets and led to her firing her closet political ally. Despite of the huge pressure from the investors and party member, Truss insisted that she would lead her Conservative Party into the next general election.

Last Friday, Truss replaced Chancellor of the Exchequer Kwasi Kwarteng with Jeremy Hunt. Hunt then said that he would reverse almost all tax measures announced three weeks ago by his predecessor. Truss said it was painful to sack her “friends” Kwarteng as finance minister but said she stood by her decision.

Truss said that she still believed in the “high growth, low tax” formular she campaigned on to win the Conservative Party leadership in early September. However, she also recognized the UK was facing “very difficult circumstances at the moment.”

Investment

Crypto experts shrug off the bitcoin plunge and here are the reasons

Cryptocurrency is having a terrible week. Still, long-term investors are really care about the steep drops in the value of digital currency and the temporarily halt of withdrawals in the exchanges. 

Bitcoin, the world most valuable cryptocurrency, dropped nearly to USD 21,000 in recent days. it is sitting nearly 70% below its historical high of USD 68,000 per coin in November 2021. Ether, the second most valuable digital currency has lost about nearly 75% of its highs.

Due to the extreme market conditions, crypto exchanges like Binance and Celsius Network temporarily halted withdrawals and indicating that it would “take time” to reopen the exchanges.

In the meantime, Coinbase, the largest cryptocurrency exchange in the United States by trading volume announced it would lay off about 18% of its workforce and citing that “could lead to another crypto winter and could last for an extended period.”

However, the leaders in the cryptosphere are not really worried about the volatile market. They believe that the bear market in crypto is not the same as the bear market for stocks: the lows are more extreme, but then so are the highs. Crypto bear markets usually drew down 85 to 90% and then bounced back according to the past performance. Crypto market is naturally more volatile.

Image source: https://www.pexels.com/photo/round-silver-and-gold-coins-730564/

 

Investment

Gold Price Down USD 50 on the Day Indicating Markets in Chaos.

The markets in chaos: precious metals prices down, Bitcoin price hits lowest level since December 2020 and stocks plunges. Analysts warn of panic selling as investors are pre-reacting to the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike on this Wednesday following a high inflation rate of the U.S.

The inflation is now expecting at annual pace of 8.6%. economists believe the Fed will need to get more aggressive to tame the inflation. The U.S. dollar reacted positively to the expected rate hike and goes stronger. In response to rising yields and a strong U.S. dollar, Gold saw a very sharp sell off as it plunged around USD 50 per oz on the day.

The precious metals are struggling as investors are still digesting inflation data and the looming economy downturn in China caused by the latest outbreak in Beijing and Shanghai. The latest lockdowns could lead to a much more extended period of supply chain issues and disruption.

Even though the market expects that the Fed will have an aggressive rate hike, but it is still not enough to get the inflation under control.

in the meantime, gold remains at risk of a more significant selloff. The support at USD 1,800 per ounce might not hold and we will see a retreat towards USD 1,750 per ounce. 

Image source: https://www.pexels.com/photo/gold-and-silver-round-coins-and-bullions-8442328/

Investment

The global economy is on the edge of a precipice

The global economy is on the edge of a precipice, and it may be the biggest crisis since the Second World War.

The invasion of Ukraine has compounded the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic. It brings the cost of the food and fuel to skyrocket which weighing on the economic recovery and fanning inflation.

Rising interest rates are putting more pressure on countries, companies, and households. Climate changes, market turbulence and ongoing supply chain constraints also make the situation become more worse.

To lower economic stress, the IMP is calling for government officials and business leaders meeting in Davos to discuss reducing trade barriers.

However, earlier this month, Indian government decided to ban the export of wheat and it triggered the price of grain soaring. Some countries are heading in the opposite direction of IMF and implementing restrictions on trade in food and agriculture products that could probably exacerbate the shortages and push the prices even higher.

Image source: https://www.pexels.com/photo/american-and-chinese-flags-and-usa-dollars-4386371/

Investment

“Fragmentation” is underway

“Fragmentation” – one the many buzzwords heard around Davos this week. “Fragmentation”, it is referring to a breakdown of the kind of free-wheeling, border-crossing trades and investments which have built the global economic order over the past three decades. It also means “deglobalization” – rebuilding fences between nations and nations.

Deglobalization won’t happen overnight but it is not a new issue. Supply-chain disruption, war in Ukraine, growing political divides and trade disputes are renewing concerns about a return of an era of isolation.

Here are the micro-deglobalization playing out in real time:

China’s ride-hailing giant Didi officially delisted its share from NYSE

Starbucks and McDonald’s pulled out of Russian market

Airbnb said it would pull all of it listings in China

Malaysia moved to restrict exports of Chicken to its neighbors

Microsoft slowly scale back their China practice

These supply chains have been built over 30 years, so it’s just really difficult to move them into another country. The US baby formular shortage is a huge public health crisis that indicates the peril of relying too much on domestic production for essential goods. It is far more complicated if governments around the world are doing deglobalization.

Image source: https://www.pexels.com/photo/antique-antique-globe-antique-shop-antique-store-414916/

Investment

Precious metals hit hard as Fed Chair Powell Stays


Gold and silver futures were sharply down the U.S. trading session Monday while President Joe Biden confirmed Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell for his second term. The precious metals prices were under a huge pressure and selling pressure accelerated overnight. 

December gold was last down nearly USD 41.10 at USD 1,810.4 and December Comex Silver was last down USD 0.421 at USD 24.36 per ounce.

Someone argued that another term for Powell was just an excuse for bullions future traders taking profits after recent good price gains. Some analysts believe bullion markets are likely to continue to be supported by the inflation trade and to be sought out as a hedge against rising and even problematic price inflation.

Investment

USD 3.5 trillion budget plan for Americans

Senate Democats just passed a USD 3.5 trillion plan early Wednesday. The bill will spend on the establishment of a Civilian Climate Corps, adds new dental, cision and hearing benefits to medicare coverage and investment in affordable housing.

Even though the GOP (Republican National Committee) voted against, the bill has passed without a Republican vote. Biden Adminstration previously said the US government will have tax increases on corporations and wealthy individuals to pay for the USD 3.5 trilliion plan.

There are many conerens about the 3.5 trillion plan will cause inflation. President Joe Biden hit back against information concern on Wednesday and would like to downplayed concerns about price hikes. and cited that his plans for the American economy are working. The President Joe Biden said that the consumner price inflation slowed in July. But his adminstration will also outline a number of resolutions  to lower the consumer costs.

However, there is one more concern about his 3.5 trillion plan. There is no one can gurantee the US government will have substantial tax incomes from coporations and wealthy people to cover this plan. Tax incomes may get affected by the pandemic.

Investment

The Story Behind The 1933 Double Eagle

The 1933 Double Eagle Coin.

Source: https://commons.m.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:NNC-US-1933-G$20-Saint_Gaudens.jpg#mw-jump-to-license


The change of design for American Eagle gold coin triggers me to study the history or development of the American gold coins. And there is a fascinated story about the Amercian gold coins development in 1933 – The most famous gold coin – The 1933 Double Eagle Gold Coin.

I believe that most people will remember that in 1930s, US was in the bank crisis. In 1933, in order to end the 1930s general bank crisis, US president Franklin D. Roosevelt issued an important executive order – Executive Order 6102.

This Executive order 6102 was about:

  • All persons are required to deliver all gold coins and all gold bullion products which owned by them to Federal Reserve Bank.

It made:

The 1933 Double Eagle: America’s last gold coin struck for circulation and the last gold coin that can be legally owned by an individual.

However, a number of 1933 Double Eagle Gold Coins were stolen or rescured before melting and those stolen coins found their way into the hands of collectors before later being recovered. Some of the 1933 Double Eagle Gold Coins were acquired by King Farouk of Egypt who was a professional collector of many things.

In 2002, one of the 1933 Double eagle was sold to an anonymous bidder at a Stacks Bowers action in New York for USD 6.6 million.

In 2021, the coins was sold for more than USD 18 million.

If one day, you discover this 1933 Double Eagle Gold Coin, remember its story behind this gold coin.

Investment

Transitory Inflation Sparks the Fears of Economic Slowdown

The Federal Reserve left interest rate and monetery policy unchanged. This indicates that the US is incomplete economic recovery until now.

Some economic experts believe that Federal Reserve will be wrong on inflation being temporary. From my point of view, it is quite difficult to predict inflation at this moment. Fears about the highly contagious Delta variant of Covid-19 leading to another round of economic slowdown. However, rising infection cases will cause more supply chain interruptions leading to more inflation. 

Meanwhile, some leading companies expressed that they are passing rising costs along to consumers which point out that some inflation will stick around.

As there are industry raw material inflation and higher transportation costs, implementing additional prices increases become necessary.

Another concern is that it is stagflation instead of transitory inflation. That toxic combination of slowing growth and rising prices is a real risk and a dangerous signal of stagflation.

Theoretically, stagflation will trigger bullish markets for commodity and bullions. If there is rising inflation, investors will look at hard assets including bullion markets, like Gold, Silver, Platinum.

Do you believe that bullions prices are starting to rise again?

Let me know your thought.

1 oz gold Canadian Maple Leaf Coin